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ACT: June truck orders reflect ‘doldrums’

July 29, 2024
Net total of 14,604 Class 8 units is down 13% year-over-year, but an ‘incredibly strong build rate’ is allowing OEMs to push backlogs lower

After last month’s anomalous order number, June’s activity offers a more reflective view of current market conditions, according to ACT Research in its latest truck report.

Final North American Class 8 net orders in June totaled 14,604 units (18,200 seasonally adjusted), which is down 13% year over year as the industry moves through the weakest period of the year for orders.

“The Class 8 backlog fell 15,516 units month over month in June to 127,917 units,” Kenny Vieth, ACT president and senior analyst, said in a news release. “With two fewer production days, June’s build rate increased to an incredibly strong 1,609 units per day. Given where we are on the calendar, stronger build than orders should continue to push the backlog lower in the coming months.

“A plant fire in April that caused the red tagging of numerous units continues to require some reading between the lines when it comes to Class 8 inventories. On ACT’s calculated basis, the Class 8 inventory rose to an all-time high close to 92,500 units in June, versus the 85,400 units reported. Our calculated inventory surpasses August 2019 on the ‘we’ve-got-an-inventory-problem’ list.

“Class 8 retail sales were 24,267 units, or 22,800 seasonally adjusted, down 19% y/y. The decline was more than covered by tractors, which fell 26% y/y, even as vocational units held their own, rising 2.7% y/y. On that seasonally adjusted basis, June’s retail number was the weakest since February 2022, back when supply chains were constraining the market.”

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